tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Philadelphia via Fort Lauderdale: arrives on time 29%

  1. 17:47 IAD → 20:34 FLL
    F9 2959 · Frontier · 2h 47m · 53% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Fort Lauderdale (FLL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 FLL → 00:39 PHL +1 day
    F9 4440 · Frontier · 2h 54m · 51% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip6h 52mIAD 17:47 to PHL 00:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.