tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Wilmington via Philadelphia: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:00 DFW → 10:30 PHL
    F9 2970 · Frontier · 3h 30m · 72% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 42m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:12 PHL → 14:59 ILM
    AA 6133 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 45m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Wilmington is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 72 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 42m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 57mDFW 06:00 to ILM 14:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.