Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New Orleans → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 21%
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17:16 MSY → 20:10 ATLF9 2972 · Frontier · 1h 53m · 41% on time, 5.1% cancelled
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50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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21:00 ATL → 22:03 MDWF9 2291 · Frontier · 2h 04m · 68% on time, 2.4% cancelled
Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection33%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 67% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (5.1% are) × connection made (33%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 48mMSY 17:16 to MDW 22:03, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.