Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 25%

  1. 17:16 MSY → 20:10 ATL
    F9 2972 · Frontier · 1h 53m · 41% on time, 5.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:16 ATL → 23:09 IAD
    F9 3692 · Frontier · 1h 53m · 56% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (5.1% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip4h 53mMSY 17:16 to IAD 23:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.