tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 65%

  1. 16:28 MDW → 19:06 DFW
    F9 2999 · Frontier · 2h 42m · 64% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:20 DFW → 22:59 PHX
    F9 4655 · Frontier · 2h 36m · 76% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 28mMDW 16:28 to PHX 22:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.