tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 43%

  1. 14:24 MSP → 18:12 ATL
    F9 3046 · Frontier · 2h 48m · 57% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:07 ATL → 21:47 MCO
    F9 4026 · Frontier · 1h 46m · 53% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip6h 29mMSP 14:24 to MCO 21:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.