tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Birmingham via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 16:46 TPA → 18:43 ATL
    F9 3053 · Frontier · 1h 57m · 68% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 01m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:44 ATL → 21:40 BHM
    DL 2257 · Delta · 56m · 83% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 91 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 01m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 54mTPA 16:46 to BHM 21:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.