tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Orlando via Detroit: arrives on time 49%

  1. 09:56 BWI → 11:35 DTW
    F9 3081 · Frontier · 1h 39m · 75% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:27 DTW → 15:13 MCO
    F9 3364 · Frontier · 2h 46m · 72% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 17mBWI 09:56 to MCO 15:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.