tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 13%

  1. 18:29 JAX → 20:12 ATL
    F9 3083 · Frontier · 1h 43m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 ATL → 22:20 PHX
    F9 2607 · Frontier · 4h 10m · 54% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Jacksonville). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection24%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 76% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time13%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (24%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip6h 41mJAX 18:29 to PHX 22:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.