tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 23%

  1. 18:29 JAX → 20:12 ATL
    F9 3083 · Frontier · 1h 43m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:16 ATL → 23:09 IAD
    F9 3692 · Frontier · 1h 53m · 56% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip4h 40mJAX 18:29 to IAD 23:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.