tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 33%

  1. 19:30 DTW → 21:31 DFW
    F9 3175 · Frontier · 3h 01m · 54% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:20 DFW → 22:59 PHX
    F9 4655 · Frontier · 2h 36m · 76% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 26mDTW 19:30 to PHX 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.