tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Richmond via Denver: arrives on time 70%

  1. 10:18 MSP → 11:37 DEN
    F9 3199 · Frontier · 2h 17m · 87% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:26 DEN → 17:52 RIC
    F9 1582 · Frontier · 3h 26m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 34mMSP 10:18 to RIC 17:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.