tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Las Vegas via Denver: arrives on time 62%

  1. 10:18 MSP → 11:37 DEN
    F9 3199 · Frontier · 2h 17m · 87% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:47 DEN → 13:47 LAS
    F9 4967 · Frontier · 2h 01m · 72% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 30mMSP 10:18 to LAS 13:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.