tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → San Jose via Los Angeles: arrives on time 56%

  1. 15:15 ATL → 17:05 LAX
    F9 3215 · Frontier · 4h 50m · 69% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:11 LAX → 19:28 SJC
    F9 2457 · Frontier · 1h 17m · 81% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 13mATL 15:15 to SJC 19:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.