tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Las Vegas via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 64%

  1. 17:04 MSP → 19:47 DFW
    F9 3223 · Frontier · 2h 47m · 71% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:51 DFW → 23:47 LAS
    F9 3885 · Frontier · 2h 56m · 73% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 139 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 43mMSP 17:04 to LAS 23:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.