tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 66%

  1. 17:04 MSP → 19:47 DFW
    F9 3223 · Frontier · 2h 47m · 71% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 33m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:20 DFW → 22:59 PHX
    F9 4655 · Frontier · 2h 36m · 76% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 108 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 33m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 52mMSP 17:04 to PHX 22:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.