tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Austin via Denver: arrives on time 31%

  1. 18:14 IAH → 19:58 DEN
    F9 3227 · Frontier · 2h 49m · 65% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:46 DEN → 20:18 AUS +1 day
    F9 2890 · Frontier · 2h 15m · 65% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 47mIAH 18:14 to AUS 20:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.