tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Islip via Baltimore: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:40 MCO → 09:01 BWI
    F9 3274 · Frontier · 2h 24m · 89% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:40 BWI → 11:50 ISP
    WN 4691 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip5h 10mMCO 06:40 to ISP 11:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.