Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 27%

  1. 06:29 LGA → 09:17 ATL
    F9 3287 · Frontier · 2h 48m · 63% on time, 7.1% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 ATL → 11:07 MDW
    F9 2779 · Frontier · 2h 04m · 64% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (7.1% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 40mLGA 06:29 to MDW 11:07, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.