tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Tampa via Denver: arrives on time 45%

  1. 20:37 PHL → 23:04 DEN
    F9 3339 · Frontier · 4h 27m · 67% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:59 DEN → 05:32 TPA +1 day
    F9 2746 · Frontier · 3h 33m · 77% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 55mPHL 20:37 to TPA 05:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.