Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Detroit via Atlanta: arrives on time 24%

  1. 18:48 LGA → 21:41 ATL
    F9 3453 · Frontier · 2h 53m · 46% on time, 9.4% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 ATL → 00:40 DTW +1 day
    F9 1264 · Frontier · 2h 05m · 72% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection37%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 63% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (9.4% are) × connection made (37%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 52mLGA 18:48 to DTW 00:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.