Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Raleigh/Durham via Atlanta: arrives on time 20%

  1. 18:48 LGA → 21:41 ATL
    F9 3453 · Frontier · 2h 53m · 46% on time, 9.4% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 ATL → 00:10 RDU +1 day
    F9 1670 · Frontier · 1h 33m · 51% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (9.4% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip5h 25mLGA 18:48 to RDU 00:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.