tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → New Orleans via Houston: arrives on time 82%

  1. 16:36 MCO → 18:27 IAH
    F9 3469 · Frontier · 2h 53m · 76% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in Houston (IAH) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:15 IAH → 23:26 MSY
    UA 2474 · United · 1h 11m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 50mMCO 16:36 to MSY 23:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.