tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Detroit via Atlanta: arrives on time 37%

  1. 18:16 MCI → 21:43 ATL
    F9 3500 · Frontier · 2h 21m · 60% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 ATL → 00:40 DTW +1 day
    F9 1264 · Frontier · 2h 05m · 72% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 24mMCI 18:16 to DTW 00:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.