tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → San Juan via Orlando: arrives on time 37%

  1. 20:30 ATL → 22:15 MCO
    F9 3508 · Frontier · 1h 45m · 49% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:17 MCO → 02:15 SJU +1 day
    F9 4726 · Frontier · 2h 54m · 77% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 41mATL 20:30 to SJU 02:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.