tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Detroit via Denver: arrives on time 43%

  1. 14:53 LAS → 18:04 DEN
    F9 3540 · Frontier · 2h 11m · 66% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 DEN → 23:59 DTW
    F9 4186 · Frontier · 3h 00m · 68% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 06mLAS 14:53 to DTW 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.