tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Hebron via Orlando: arrives on time 60%

  1. 17:09 BNA → 20:20 MCO
    F9 3560 · Frontier · 2h 13m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:24 MCO → 23:46 CVG
    F9 1713 · Frontier · 2h 22m · 80% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 37mBNA 17:09 to CVG 23:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.