tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Chicago via Orlando: arrives on time 52%

  1. 15:21 BWI → 17:53 MCO
    F9 3663 · Frontier · 2h 30m · 72% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 MCO → 23:13 ORD
    F9 2791 · Frontier · 3h 15m · 58% on time, 4.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (4.9% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip8h 53mBWI 15:21 to ORD 23:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.