tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Miami via Las Vegas: arrives on time 55%

  1. 20:10 SNA → 21:21 LAS
    F9 3738 · Frontier · 1h 13m · 72% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 LAS → 06:30 MIA +1 day
    F9 4552 · Frontier · 5h 01m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 20mSNA 20:10 to MIA 06:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.