tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Dulles via Las Vegas: arrives on time 46%

  1. 22:51 DFW → 23:47 LAS
    F9 3885 · Frontier · 2h 56m · 73% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 00:46 LAS → 08:20 IAD +1 day
    F9 4278 · Frontier · 4h 35m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 30mDFW 22:51 to IAD 08:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.