tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Islip → Baltimore via Orlando: arrives on time 49%

  1. 10:57 ISP → 13:50 MCO
    F9 3941 · Frontier · 2h 53m · 77% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 28m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:18 MCO → 19:52 BWI
    WN 889 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 54% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 28m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip8h 56mISP 10:57 to BWI 19:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.