tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Louisville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:40 MCO → 07:39 DFW
    F9 4017 · Frontier · 2h 59m · 83% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 52m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:31 DFW → 12:48 SDF
    AA 3791 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 17m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 52m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip7h 08mMCO 05:40 to SDF 12:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.