tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 76%

  1. 17:24 MCO → 19:25 ATL
    F9 4025 · Frontier · 2h 01m · 58% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 37m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:02 ATL → 00:26 SDF +1 day
    DL 2624 · Delta · 1h 26m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 127 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 37m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 04mMCO 17:24 to SDF 00:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.