tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Orlando via Cleveland: arrives on time 35%

  1. 18:56 ATL → 20:55 CLE
    F9 4036 · Frontier · 1h 59m · 59% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Cleveland (CLE) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:47 CLE → 00:21 MCO +1 day
    F9 2280 · Frontier · 2h 34m · 76% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 25mATL 18:56 to MCO 00:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.