tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → San Antonio via Las Vegas: arrives on time 56%

  1. 13:17 IAH → 14:29 LAS
    F9 4131 · Frontier · 3h 12m · 74% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:24 LAS → 20:14 SAT
    F9 3418 · Frontier · 2h 51m · 84% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 58mIAH 13:17 to SAT 20:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.