Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Buffalo via Orlando: arrives on time 33%

  1. 12:54 PHL → 15:30 MCO
    F9 4173 · Frontier · 2h 41m · 65% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:17 MCO → 19:12 BUF
    F9 3262 · Frontier · 2h 50m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 13mPHL 12:54 to BUF 19:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.