tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → Miami via Atlanta: arrives on time 25%

  1. 17:51 CLE → 20:06 ATL
    F9 4209 · Frontier · 2h 15m · 67% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 ATL → 23:05 MIA
    F9 3442 · Frontier · 2h 08m · 51% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip5h 12mCLE 17:51 to MIA 23:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.