tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 40%

  1. 17:51 CLE → 20:06 ATL
    F9 4209 · Frontier · 2h 15m · 67% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:16 ATL → 23:09 IAD
    F9 3692 · Frontier · 1h 53m · 56% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 18mCLE 17:51 to IAD 23:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.