tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → Baltimore via Atlanta: arrives on time 25%

  1. 17:51 CLE → 20:06 ATL
    F9 4209 · Frontier · 2h 15m · 67% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 ATL → 23:00 BWI
    F9 4712 · Frontier · 2h 00m · 46% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip5h 09mCLE 17:51 to BWI 23:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.