tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Long Beach via Las Vegas: arrives on time 26%

  1. 09:50 IAD → 11:45 LAS
    F9 4277 · Frontier · 4h 58m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:30 LAS → 15:40 LGB
    WN 3061 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 27% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Long Beach is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (27%).
Total trip8h 50mIAD 09:50 to LGB 15:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.