tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Manchester via Charlotte: arrives on time 55%

  1. 15:50 PHL → 17:46 CLT
    F9 4353 · Frontier · 1h 55m · 57% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 47m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:33 CLT → 22:51 MHT
    AA 5033 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 18m · 68% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 77 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 47m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 01mPHL 15:50 to MHT 22:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.