tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Dallas-Fort Worth via Orlando: arrives on time 48%

  1. 13:38 IAD → 16:05 MCO
    F9 4355 · Frontier · 2h 30m · 68% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:59 MCO → 19:03 DFW
    F9 1481 · Frontier · 3h 08m · 76% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 29mIAD 13:38 to DFW 19:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.