tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Norfolk via Orlando: arrives on time 70%

  1. 13:38 IAD → 16:05 MCO
    F9 4355 · Frontier · 2h 30m · 68% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:25 MCO → 20:39 ORF
    F9 2288 · Frontier · 2h 10m · 79% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 57mIAD 13:38 to ORF 20:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.