tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Columbus via Detroit: arrives on time 83%

  1. 00:20 PHX → 07:21 DTW
    F9 4392 · Frontier · 4h 01m · 67% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 54m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:15 DTW → 11:27 CMH
    DL 5810 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 12m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 84 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 54m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip8h 07mPHX 00:20 to CMH 11:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.