tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Everett via San Francisco: arrives on time 41%

  1. 14:34 LAS → 16:36 SFO
    F9 4401 · Frontier · 1h 53m · 52% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:07 SFO → 22:12 PAE
    AS 2083 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 05m · 46% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 121 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip7h 38mLAS 14:34 to PAE 22:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.