tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Knoxville via Atlanta: arrives on time 76%

  1. 05:55 EWR → 08:44 ATL
    F9 4601 · Frontier · 2h 48m · 75% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 33m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:17 ATL → 13:16 TYS
    DL 4724 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 02m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 33m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 24mEWR 05:55 to TYS 13:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.