tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Sarasota/Bradenton via Atlanta: arrives on time 83%

  1. 05:55 EWR → 08:44 ATL
    F9 4601 · Frontier · 2h 48m · 75% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:40 ATL → 14:14 SRQ
    DL 2438 · Delta · 1h 34m · 89% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 146 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 19mEWR 05:55 to SRQ 14:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.