tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 05:55 EWR → 08:44 ATL
    F9 4601 · Frontier · 2h 48m · 75% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:34 ATL → 14:15 MCO
    F9 4556 · Frontier · 1h 41m · 79% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 20mEWR 05:55 to MCO 14:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.