tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Las Vegas via Denver: arrives on time 46%

  1. 19:54 MEM → 21:41 DEN
    F9 4625 · Frontier · 2h 53m · 78% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 DEN → 23:29 LAS
    F9 777 · Frontier · 2h 00m · 74% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 35mMEM 19:54 to LAS 23:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.