tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Philadelphia via Atlanta: arrives on time 40%

  1. 13:51 AUS → 17:37 ATL
    F9 4702 · Frontier · 2h 42m · 51% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:12 ATL → 22:29 PHL
    F9 1102 · Frontier · 2h 16m · 47% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip7h 37mAUS 13:51 to PHL 22:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.